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Sunday, July 24, 2011

Your latest Weather Forecast

Good Sunday Afternoon!

Finally!  After some record heat took place across the Northeast Wednesday through Saturday, we are finally taking a break on this Sunday afternoon.  We'll have a look at some record breaking and record tying temperatures which were set across the region, especially during the afternoon on Friday, July 22.

Newark, NJ: Record high of 108 (All time high record, previously 105 set on August 5, 2001. Also eclipses record of 101 set back on July 22, 1957).

Central Park, NY: Record high of 104 (This eclipses old record high of 101 set back on July 22, 1957).

LaGuardia Airport, NY: Record high of 104 (This eclipses old record high of 101 set back on July 22, 1998).

Bridgeport, CT: Record high of 103 (Ties all time high record of 103, previously set back on July 22, 1957).

While Friday was a scorcher (as was much of the week), we have begun to see conditions cool down during the latter half of the weekend into the middle part of this upcoming week.  While Southern New England has been dealing with mostly unsettled conditions (though not a washout) on this Sunday, it appears that the threat for both showers and thunderstorms will renew itself through the first half of the work week in response to an approaching cold front.  On Monday, instability ahead of this cold front looks to be marginal at best, with the greatest instability present across Vermont, Western Massachusetts to the eastern slopes of the Berkshires, and far northern areas of the Litchfield Hills in Connecticut.  While the threat of thunderstorms will exist across all of New England, I think the greatest threat will exist in areas with better instability.  Marginal instability suggests that these storms will have difficulty reaching severe levels, but it is not entirely out of the question.  An atmosphere rich in moisture signals that any shower or thunderstorm will be capable of heavy amounts of rain.  Watch this closely in poor drainage areas.

We can expect the same scenario to unfold on Tuesday as Monday.  Heavy downpours should be a lesser threat on Tuesday by comparison.  Greatest threat of showers and thunderstorms should exist across Northern Vermont, New Hampshire, and Northwest Maine.  Once again, the threat for severe storms appears marginal at best.  Anything that develops will be isolated in nature.    

Wednesday looks to be the pick of the first half of the work week!  After sweating out the oppressive humidity this past Wednesday, Thursday & Friday, the comfort level will rise this upcoming Wednesday!  Temperatures will be delightful, generally in the mid 70's-low 80's range north to south.  Most importantly, most of New England will remain dry (with the threat for a shower or two across Northern VT, NH & ME).  Warmer and more humid conditions return for the end of the week, along with an increased thunderstorm threat as another cold front approaches New England.  Stay tuned for more!         

-Alex Avalos

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